Media Create 2/1-2/7 Hardware preview

From the drill blog*:

DSｉ 18700
DSi LL 27900
DSL 5000
Wii 34400
PS3 24700
PS2 2000
PSP 41900
PSP go 1700
X360 3400

Note that the PS3 is losing momentum quickly. Wii also with a substantial fall. PSP actually goes down from last week.


*- These are heavy estimates to protect the source, but the real numbers are always close.

Nintendo release list for 2010 in Japan- Last Story, Xenoblade?

* Xenoblade (Wii, Spring 2010)
* Metroid Other M (Wii, Summer 2010)
* Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Wii, 2010)
* The Last Story (Wii, 2010)
* Kensakusu (Wii, TBA)
* Span Smasher (Wii, TBA)
* Start With 100 Words: English Conversation (Wii, TBA)
* Hoshi no Kirby (Wii, TBA)
* Line Attack Heroes (Wii, TBA)
* The Legend of Zelda (Wii, TBA)

Link

Media Create- 1/18-1/24

PSP 52,909
Wii 45,167
PS3 26,966
DSi LL 24,059
DSi 20,373
DS Lite 4,966
Xbox 360 3,343
PS2 2,088
PSP go 1,773

Wii, PSP, and DS all in the same general area.

PS3 falling pretty hard..down to Wii 2009 levels already.

NPD December- Wii sells almost 4 million units

Unreal...

PlayStation 2 333.2K
PlayStation 3 1.36M
PSP 654.7K
Xbox 360 1.31M
Wii 3.81M
Nintendo DS 3.31M

NEW SUPER MARIO BROS. WII WII NINTENDO OF AMERICA Nov-09 2.82M
WII FIT PLUS* WII NINTENDO OF AMERICA Oct-09 2.41M
WII SPORTS RESORT W/ WII MOTION PLUS* WII NINTENDO OF AMERICA Jul-09 1.79M
CALL OF DUTY: MODERN WARFARE 2* 360 ACTIVISION BLIZZARD Nov-09 1.63M
CALL OF DUTY: MODERN WARFARE 2* PS3 ACTIVISION BLIZZARD Nov-09 1.12M
WII PLAY W/ REMOTE WII NINTENDO OF AMERICA Feb-07 1.01M
MARIO KART W/ WHEEL WII NINTENDO OF AMERICA Apr-08 936.1K
ASSASSIN'S CREED II 360 UBISOFT Nov-09 783.1K
LEFT 4 DEAD 2 360 ELECTRONIC ARTS Nov-09 728.5K
MARIO & LUIGI: BOWSER'S INSIDE STORY NDS NINTENDO OF AMERICA Sep-09 656.7K


NSMB Wii goes to 4.21M in the U.S alone.

Wii/DS December stats from Nintendo. Wii sells 3 million in N.A

As everyone looks ahead to the possibilities in store for 2010, Nintendo of America is looking to extend the glow of the holidays with some fresh December sales information. The following items were announced by Nintendo President Satoru Iwata in Japan:

* Although official U.S. sales data for December and all of 2009 will be announced by the NPD Group on Jan. 14, it appears that U.S. consumers responded enthusiastically to Nintendo’s Wii™ home console in December. Nintendo estimates that December sales in the United States will exceed 3 million units.
* Nintendo estimates that the portable Nintendo DS™ lineup, including the Nintendo DSi™ video game system, set a new all-time calendar-year U.S. sales record for any console or hand-held system.
* Nintendo software also continued to perform well. Although the NPD Group will provide the full sales numbers for each game, Nintendo estimates that lifetime U.S. sales of New Super Mario Bros.™ Wii are approaching 4 million. The game, which is the first Super Mario Bros. game to include simultaneous four-player action, launched in the United States on Nov. 15.

“The millions of people who bought Nintendo hardware during the holidays can look forward to enjoying great games on those systems now and in the future,” said Cammie Dunaway, Nintendo of America’s executive vice president of Sales & Marketing. “The Legend of Zelda: Spirit Tracks for Nintendo DS, and Wii Fit Plus and New Super Mario Bros. Wii are all currently providing Nintendo fans with amazing experiences and fun adventures for the whole family.”

Is there a Wii hardware revision coming in 2010?

We've all heard the speculation about Wii HD in 2010 or a new console in 2011. On the surface it seems unlikely. The Wii is still the best selling console worldwide and common logic says you keep selling a console that is making you money.

However, if you look closer at Nintendo's home region, there seems to be some possibility of some sort of hardware revision coming in 2010.

What appears most likely is a revision adding HD capability, possibly bundling Motion + and the CC Pro and possibly some sort of memory solution. This would lead to HD games becoming more easily ported and would also lead to unified controller in the hands of every Wii buyer, something I have argued is important. I don't expect any radical chance to the system specs.


Possible reasons for a hardware revision


1. Nintendo's own words

Nintendo has admitted to studying high definition.

Here are some quotes from Nintendo's most recent financial briefing:

During the firm's recent financial results briefing, Genyo Takeda, general manager of Nintendo’s Integrated R&D Division, said that the industry’s shift to high definition “appears a natural flow", although he stopped short of confirming HD support for future products.


“Since our division has been reviewing and developing a number of hardware, we are looking into many different things, including HD and SD… However, we have not come to the stage where we can announce which is the most appropriate means. Since an increasing number of the TV sets at home around the world are becoming HD today, it will be natural for a machine to be able to generate graphics that people will be accustomed to see on HD televisions. Since the ordinary TV programmes are now shifting to HD, moving to HD appears to me a natural flow.

“Regarding the question of SD or HD, it must depend on each software. For example, we have to ask ourselves if HD is really necessary to develop Wii Fit. Won't HD be better for the games like Pikmin? The developers should choose the most appropriate graphical format depending on the software they make. To Nintendo, our theme is how we can prepare the SDK library to cater to the needs of the developers, with which the developers can more easily develop their games.”

Link


Obviously this is not conclusive of anything, but this shows that Nintendo has HD on its mind and is communicating to investors that it is aware of the rising HD penetration rates.

2. Nintendo has a history of such revisions

This doesn't need much explanation. In many ways Nintendo has tried to replicate the success of the DS with the Wii, giving many of its biggest DS games Wii versions. It would follow that Nintendo would try and repackage the Wii and gain sales similar to what it has done with the DS.

3. Nintendo has faltered in its home market.

Worldwide Nintendo is still doing very well. However, for most of 2009 it has struggled in Japan, and since September has lost momentum to the PS3. Nintendo is still a Japanese company and they want to win their home region. If Nintendo decides that software alone is not enough, a hardware revision could happen.

4. Nintendo's lineup for 2010.

The first three arguments were more general. This is specific. As of now, December 21st 2009, the Wii's 2010 lineup looks incredibly sparse.

First party wise, we know of Reginleiv in February, a niche title from a niche developer, and that's it for dated software. We know Galaxy 2 is coming, and we know WiiRelax is presumably on its way, in addition to Metroid: Other M.

But that is basically it. Additionally, there are still many games from Nintendo's 2008 Japanese conference still not dated.

To further add to the sparse lineup, many Nintendo franchises have not appeared on the Wii at all- Star Fox, Kirby, Pikmin, F-Zero, and 2007 franchises that should have been announced for second iterations have not been unveiled- Paper Mario, Mario Party, and Fire Emblem.

The situation is even worse third party wise. Right now there are 2 relatively high profile games announced for 2010, both from Capcom- Resident Evil Darkside Chronicles and Basara 3. That is it. Now, either 3rd party development has dropped off a cliff or software is being held back. I think its unlikely to be the former because games coming out in 2010 were presumably in development in 2007 and 2008 when the Wii was still generally selling very well.

Add it all up and you have a simple conclusion- there are literally dozens of games and franchises from Nintendo that should be announced but haven't been. There is also basically no known 3rd party software announced. Nintendo hasn't had any conferences since E3 2009 in late May. It wouldn't surprise me if we are getting some sort of upgrade in 2010 which would explain the lack of software announcements. Of course, it also wouldn't surprise me if Nintendo just doesn't have anything in the pipeline and 2010 is going to wind up being the worst year in the Wii's history.

Nothing left to do but find out.

The Wii/PS3 2009 race- can PS3 win?

If, as described in the last post, the PS3 sells 350K or so, could the PS3 overtake the Wii with only one week left?

Its possible. I think we can assume the Wii will rise between 40-60K (2008 rose 39k, 2007 rose 62K) this week and get to 180-190K.

The Wii is currently ahead by approximately 138K. If the PS3 sells 350K and the Wii sells 180K, the PS3 would then move ahead by about 42K. In that scenario I think the Wii will overcome that in the last week. Wii sales should remain steady, maybe decrease slightly, but PS3 sales with the FF13 first week gone should go down significantly, maybe down to 120K or so. Of course, if the PS3 sells 400K this week then it becomes that much harder for the Wii to overcome that lead.

Official Media Create Hardware- 12/7- 12/13

Wii 135,898
PS3 75,086
PSP 71,885
DSi 68,184
DSi LL 58,006
DS Lite 11,376
Xbox 360 10,646
PSP go 3,077

- The Wii goes up approximately 138K YTD, 110K for December

Early Famitsu Numbers- Wii 142K, PS3 76K, NSMB Wii 465K

Famitsu

Neogaf confirmation

Obviously a great start for NSMB Wii and amazing Wii hardware sales.

The YTD and December race between the Wii and PS3 is essentially over, and next week the Wii has a decent chance at beating PS3 even with FF13.

Media Create Hardware- 9/12-9/27

DSi 63,342
PS3 39,960
PSP 17,334
DS Lite 15,057
Wii 11,731
Xbox 360 4,854
PS2 2,347


Notes-

Lowest Wii week ever, PS3 much lower than Famitsu

Link

Senguko Basara 3 announced!! For Wii..and PS3?

Yup, in a bit of a surprise, Basara 3 is coming to Wii and PS3. Previous speculation was that it would be a Wii exclusive.

Link

-60% complete, will release in 2010 (probably pretty early).

Some notes observations:

- Probably no U.S release if Capcom isn't bothering with a 360 version

-Could this lead to the next console Monster Hunter coming to PS3??

- What version will sell better? My money is on the PS3. There is already an audience for these types of games on the PS3 from the Dynasty Warriors series, and I can't see much of a compelling reason to buy the Wii version. Will be interesting to see what version Capcom pushes.

Media Create Hardware- 8/3-8/9

DSi 70,066
Wii 47,140
PSP 33,893
DS Lite 8,699
PS3 5,826
Xbox 360 5,436
PS2 4,601


Wii drops of course but still held on pretty well.

PS3 is heading way down.

Software wise, MH Tri did basically the same as Famitsu.


Link

Wii Fit plus release date and more

From Anoop, it looks like Wii Fit plus will hit 10/1. Forever Blue 2 comes two weeks earlier, 9/17.

Nintendo may be in a decent position to maintain whatever bump Monster Hunter Tri gives- Wii Fit Plus will come exactly 2 months after Tri, which isn't that long of a wait. Expect New Super Mario Bros. Wii to come in November, and maybe another big title in December (WuHu Island, the name of the Wii Sports Resort Island which was recently trademarked by Nintendo??).

Media Create Hardware- 6/29- 7/5 (Wii bump??)

DSi 46,855
PSP 32,849
Wii 24,971
PS3 11,196
DS Lite 7,507
Xbox 360 5,876
PS2 3,734


Notes-

-PSP and DS go up a bit.

-Wii hardware has a bigger "bump" in Wii Sports Resort's second week- up 3K or so.

Famitsu Software/Hardware Leak- 6/29-7/5

Famitsu Sales: 06/29 - 07/05

01. [WII] Wii Sports Resort (Nintendo) - 153,000 / 507,000
02. [PSP] Hatsune Miku: Project Diva (Sega) - 101,000 / NEW
03. [PSP] Boku no Natsuyasumi 4: Seitouchi Shounen Tanteidan, Boku to Himitsu no Chizu (SCE) - 57,000 / NEW
04. [NDS] Tomodachi Collection (Nintendo) - 51,000 / 221,000
05. [NDS] Kingdom Hearts: 358/2 Days (Square Enix) - 14,000 / 477,000
06. [PSP] Monster Hunter Portable 2nd G, PSP the Best (Capcom) - 12,000 / 807,000
07. [PSP] Ken to Mahou to Gakuen Mono 2 (Acquire) - 12,000 / 58,000
08. [PS3] Atelier Rorona: Arland no Renkinjutsushi (Gust) - 11,000 / 59,000
09. [WII] Wii Fit (Nintendo) - 11,000 / 3,444,000
10. [NDS] Sloane to MacHale no Nazo no Monogatari (Level 5) - 9,900 / 149,000

11. [NDS] Pokemon Platinum (Pokemon) - 6,900 / 2,435,000
12. [PS3] BlazBlue (Arc System Works) - 6,900 / 42,000
13. [NDS] Infinite Space (Mugen Kouro) (Sega) - 6,500 / 55,000
14. [PSP] Valhalla Knights 2: Battle Stance (Marvelous Entertainment) - 6,200 / 20,000
15. [NDS] Rhythm Heaven (Nintendo) - 5,200 / 1,754,000
16. [NDS] Ace Attorney Investigations: Miles Edgeworth (Gyakuten Kenji) (Capcom) - 5,200 / 273,000
17. [WII] Mario Kart Wii (Nintendo) - 4,900 / 2,276,000
18. [NDS] Tago Akira no Atama no Taisou Dai-1-Shuu: Nazotoki Sekai Isshuu Ryokou (Level 5) - 4,900 / 22,000
19. [NDS] Mario & Luigi RPG 3!!! (Nintendo) - 4,500 / 652,000
20. [NDS] Pokemon Mystery Dungeon Explorers of Sky (Pokemon) - 4,400 / 362,000
21. [WII] EA Sports: Grand Slam Tennis (Electronic Arts) - 4,300 / NEW
22. [NDS] Animal Crossing: Wild World (Nintendo) - 4,300 / 5,026,000
23. [PS3] Agarest Senki Zero (Compile Heart) - 4,200 / 19,000
24. [WII] Taiko no Tatsujin Wii (Bandai Namco Games) - 4,100 / 582,000
25. [NDS] Kirby Super Star Ultra (Nintendo) - 3,700 / 1,120,000
26. [360] BlazBlue (Arc System Works) - 3,600 / 26,000
27. [NDS] Pokemon Diamond/Pearl (Pokemon) - 3,500 / 5,681,000
28.
29. [NDS] Mario Kart DS (Nintendo) - 3,400 / 3,461,000
30. [NDS] Momotarou Dentetsu: 20th Anniversary (Hudson) - 3,300 / 290,000

__. [360] BioShock, Xbox 360 Platinum Collection (Spike) - 1,200 / NEW
__. [NDS] Minna no Oekaki Yasan (Taito) - 750 / NEW
__. [PS3] Shin Sangoku Musou 5, PlayStation 3 the Best (Koei) - 620 / NEW

DSL　7400
DSi　49000
PSP　36000
Wii　24000
PS3　10500
PS2　5500
360　5100

Notes


-Hardware up all around. Wii goes up another 3K. Wii Sports Resort having an affect after all?

- Project DIVA with a great first week

- Nice hold for Wii Sports Resort

- Taiko Wii re-enters the charts.

Weekly Overview

Sorry its late!

As far as Wednesday's numbers go, I'm interested in how Wii Sports Resort holds, and whether Wii hardware sales steady at 22K or start to drop.

As far as releases for the week..It's Dragon Quest IX this Saturday, end of story. It could sell upwards of 2 million copies in its first two days!

Media Create Hardware-6/22-6/28

DSi 39,885
PSP 26,789
Wii 21,790
PS3 11,310
Xbox 360 5,766
DS Lite 5,595
PS2 3,578


Notes

-Minimal bump for Wii, less than 3K.
- PS3 up slightly

Famitsu Software/Hardware Leak

Famitsu Sales: 06/22 - 06/28

01. [WII] Wii Sports Resort (Nintendo) - 354,000 / NEW
02. [NDS] Tomodachi Collection (Nintendo) - 70,000 / 170,000
03. [PS3] Atelier Rorona: Arland no Renkinjutsushi (Gust) - 47,000 / NEW
04. [PSP] Ken to Mahou to Gakuen Mono 2 (Acquire) - 45,000 / NEW
05. [PS3] BlazBlue (Arc System Works) - 36,000 / NEW
06. [360] BlazBlue (Arc System Works) - 23,000 / NEW
07. [NDS] Kingdom Hearts: 358/2 Days (Square Enix) - 22,000 / 462,000
08. [PS3] Agarest Senki Zero (Compile Heart) - 14,000 / NEW
09. [PSP] Valhalla Knights 2: Battle Stance (Marvelous Entertainment) - 14,000 / NEW
10. [PSP] Monster Hunter Portable 2nd G, PSP the Best (Capcom) - 12,000 / 794,000

11. [WII] Wii Fit (Nintendo) - 11,000 / 3,433,000
12. [NDS] Sloane to MacHale no Nazo no Monogatari (Level 5) - 10,000 / 140,000
13. [PSP] Kono Aozora ni Yakusoku o: Tenohira no Rakuen (TGL) - 7,900 / NEW
14. [NDS] Ace Attorney Investigations: Miles Edgeworth (Gyakuten Kenji) (Capcom) - 7,000 / 268,000
15. [NDS] Really? Really! DS (Kadokawa Shoten) - 6,900 / NEW
16. [360] Mamoru-kun wa Norowarete Shimatta! (G.Rev) - 6,800 / NEW
17.
18. [NDS] Pokemon Platinum (Pokemon) - 6,200 / 2,428,000
19. [PSP] Fate/Unlimited Codes Portable (Capcom) - 6,000 / 38,000
20. [PS2] Wand of Fortune (Idea Factory) - 5,900 / NEW
21. [360] Time Leap (Prototype) - 5,600 / NEW
22. [NDS] Infinite Space (Mugen Kouro) (Sega) - 5,400 / 48,000
23. [PS3] Bionic Commando (Capcom) - 5,300 / NEW
24. [NDS] Pokemon Mystery Dungeon Explorers of Sky (Pokemon) - 5,300 / 357,000
25. [NDS] Animal Crossing: Wild World (Nintendo) - 4,700 / 5,022,000
26. [NDS] Mario & Luigi RPG 3!!! (Nintendo) - 4,600 / 648,000
27. [PS3] Dynasty Warriors 6 Empires (Koei) - 4,500 / 128,000
28. [NDS] Rhythm Heaven (Nintendo) - 4,400 / 1,749,000
29. [WII] Mario Kart Wii (Nintendo) - 4,100 / 2,271,000
30. [NDS] Kirby Super Star Ultra (Nintendo) - 4,100 / 1,116,000

__. [360] Bionic Commando (Capcom) - 4,000 / NEW
__. [PS3] Wanted: Weapons of Fate (Spike) - 3,100 / NEW
__. [PSP] Memories Off: AfterRain (5pb.) - 3,000 / NEW
__. [PS2] Under the Moon: Crescent (Dimple) - 2,700 / NEW
__. [PSP] Pia Carrot e Youkoso!! G.P. Gakuen Princess Portable (GN Software) - 2,700 / NEW
__. [PS2] Himehibi: New Princess Days!! Zoku! Ni-Gakki (Takuyo) - 1,900 / NEW
__. [NDS] Fushigi Yuugi DS (Idea Factory) - 1,800 / NEW
__. [PS2] Eureka Seven: New Wave Graduation, Welcome Price 2800 (Bandai Namco Games) - 1,700 / NEW
__. [360] Extreme Racing: Pure (Disney Interactive Studios) - 1,100 / NEW
__. [360] Wanted: Weapons of Fate (Spike) - 1,100 / NEW
__. [PS3] Extreme Racing: Pure (Disney Interactive Studios) - 990 / NEW
__. [PS2] Eureka Seven: New Vision, Welcome Price 2800 (Bandai Namco Games) - 960 / NEW
__. [NDS] Maruhan Pachinko & Pachi-Slot Hisshou Guide Kyouryoku: The Pachinko Hall (Nippon Ichi Software) - 840 / NEW
__. [PS2] D.C. II P.S. Da Capo II Plus Situation, Kadokawa the Best (Kadokawa Shoten) - 830 / NEW
__. [PS3] Battlefield: Bad Company, EA Best Hits (Electronic Arts) - 620 / NEW
__. [NDS] MySims Racing (Electronic Arts) - 510 / NEW

DSL　6100
DSi　39000
PSP　27000
Wii　21000
PS3　10000
PS2　5000
360　5200

Link

Notes

-Great start for Wii Sports Resort
-Nice numbers for Atelier and BlazBlue
-Tiny hardware bump for Wii. Disappointing.

Wii Sports hardware bump- Pretty low according to Famitsu

According to reliable Japanese retailer Sinobi, Wii hardware for the week was about 21K, which is up from 17K the week before. Famitsu has been tracking Wii lower than Media Create for a while, so the Media Create number might be higher..but still, very underwhelming.

Wii Sports Resort sells almost 354,000 copies 1st week

According to Famitsu, Wii Sports Resort had a stellar start, more than doubling its first day sales to do almost 354K first week.

That is the 3rd highest 1st week for a Wii title behind Super Smash Bros. Brawl and Mario Kart Wii.

Hardware was not given out, which is interesting. Maybe there wasn't much of a bump afterall?