The main story is Wii Sports resort. Based on 1st day numbers, it should hit at least 300K, and might go as high as 350K. That would make it the 3rd biggest Wii debut ever, and the biggest game since Animal Crossing last November.
The real question is hardware- how much of a spike will we see? This past week, Wii sold about 19K. I don't think the bump will be that significant- Wii Sports Resort will likely sell to exisiting owners first. I do think we'll see a bump to maybe 32K or so, and possibly a new baseline of 25K or so as opposed to the 17-18K it had settled to.
It will also be interesting to see the legs on Friend Collection for DS. It nearly tripled its first day last week, so it should display some great legs.
In terms of releases coming out 7/2, I'm paying attention to Sega's Project Diva, a Idolmaster clone that has been doing well in the Comgnet rankings.
I'm also paying some attention to Grand Slam Tennis for Wii from EA Sports. Usually I wouldn't expect anything from this title, but it is the first title to integrate Moton Plus and has been rising in the Amazon rankings.
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